logo_test/test_results/FINAL_MODEL_ANALYSIS.md

# Logo Recognition Model Analysis

**Date:** January 7, 2026
**Purpose:** Determine the best model and threshold for logo recognition of logos not currently in the test set.

---

## Executive Summary

| Model | Best Threshold | F1 Score | Precision | Recall | Recommended Use |
|-------|---------------|----------|-----------|--------|-----------------|
| **Image-Split Fine-tuned** | 0.70-0.75 | **67-68%** | 66-80% | 59-68% | Known logos (in reference set) |
| Baseline CLIP | 0.70 | 57-60% | 48-49% | 72-77% | Unknown logos (never seen before) |
| Logo-Split Fine-tuned | 0.76 | 56% | 49% | 64% | Not recommended |
| DINOv2 (small/large) | - | 29-30% | 22-32% | 28-43% | Not suitable |

**Winner: Image-Split Fine-tuned Model** at threshold **0.70-0.75**

---

## Detailed Model Comparison

### 1. Baseline CLIP (openai/clip-vit-large-patch14)

The pre-trained CLIP model without any fine-tuning.

**Threshold Performance:**

| Threshold | Precision | Recall | F1 |
|-----------|-----------|--------|-----|
| 0.70 | 47.9% | 71.8% | 57.5% |
| 0.80 | 33.0% | 63.1% | 43.4% |
| 0.85 | 26.9% | 43.4% | 33.2% |
| 0.90 | 54.9% | 22.8% | 32.2% |

**Similarity Distribution:**
- True Positive mean: 0.854 (range: 0.75-0.95)
- False Positive mean: 0.846 (range: 0.75-0.95)
- **Problem:** TP and FP distributions almost completely overlap

**Suggested optimal threshold:** 0.756 (predicted F1 = 67.1%)

**Strengths:**
- Good recall at low thresholds
- Works on completely unseen logos
- No training required

**Weaknesses:**
- Poor separation between correct and incorrect matches
- High false positive rate

---

### 2. Fine-tuned CLIP (Logo-Level Splits)

Trained with contrastive learning, tested on completely unseen logo brands.

**Threshold Performance:**

| Threshold | Precision | Recall | F1 |
|-----------|-----------|--------|-----|
| 0.70 | 25.9% | 67.1% | 37.4% |
| 0.76 | **49.1%** | 64.3% | **55.7%** |
| 0.82 | 75.7% | 41.4% | 53.5% |
| 0.86 | 88.6% | 28.1% | 42.7% |

**Similarity Distribution:**
- True Positive mean: 0.853
- False Positive mean: 0.787 (better separation than baseline)
- Missed logos mean: 0.711 (only 43.7% above 0.75)

**Suggested optimal threshold:** 0.82 (predicted F1 = 71.9%)

**Strengths:**
- Better TP/FP separation than baseline
- Very high precision at high thresholds (88.6% at t=0.86)

**Weaknesses:**
- Does not generalize well to unseen logo brands
- Many correct logos score below threshold (56% of missed logos below 0.75)
- Worse than baseline at threshold 0.70

---

### 3. Fine-tuned CLIP (Image-Level Splits) ⭐ BEST

Trained with contrastive learning, all logo brands seen during training (different images held out for testing).

**Threshold Performance:**

| Threshold | Precision | Recall | F1 |
|-----------|-----------|--------|-----|
| 0.65 | 56.9% | **75.9%** | 65.0% |
| 0.70 | 66.3% | 68.3% | **67.3%** |
| 0.75 | **79.9%** | 59.3% | **68.1%** |
| 0.80 | 83.7% | 52.8% | 64.8% |
| 0.85 | 92.4% | 42.8% | 58.5% |
| 0.90 | 98.9% | 24.7% | 39.5% |

**Similarity Distribution:**
- True Positive mean: 0.866 (higher than other models)
- False Positive mean: 0.807
- TP-FP gap: 0.059 (best separation)
- At t=0.75: 92 TP vs only 38 FP (excellent ratio)

**Suggested optimal threshold:** 0.755 (predicted F1 = 85.6%)

**Strengths:**
- Best overall F1 score (68.1% at t=0.75)
- Best precision at any threshold (79.9-98.9%)
- Excellent TP/FP ratio
- Highest true positive similarity scores

**Weaknesses:**
- Requires logos to be in the reference set during training
- May not generalize to completely novel logos

---

### 4. DINOv2 Models

Tested for comparison but significantly underperformed.

| Model | Precision | Recall | F1 |
|-------|-----------|--------|-----|
| DINOv2-small | 22.4% | 42.8% | 29.5% |
| DINOv2-large | 32.2% | 28.5% | 30.2% |

**Not recommended** for logo recognition tasks.

---

## Recommendations

### For Logo Recognition of Known Logos (logos in your reference set)

**Use: Image-Split Fine-tuned Model**

```bash
# Recommended configuration
python test_logo_detection.py \
    -e models/logo_detection/clip_finetuned_image_split \
    -t 0.70 \
    --matching-method multi-ref \
    --use-max-similarity
```

| Use Case | Threshold | Expected Performance |
|----------|-----------|---------------------|
| Balanced (recommended) | 0.70 | 66% precision, 68% recall, 67% F1 |
| High precision | 0.75 | 80% precision, 59% recall, 68% F1 |
| Very high precision | 0.80 | 84% precision, 53% recall, 65% F1 |
| Maximum precision | 0.85+ | 92%+ precision, <43% recall |

### For Logo Recognition of Unknown Logos (completely novel brands)

**Use: Baseline CLIP** (the fine-tuned models don't generalize well)

```bash
# Recommended configuration
python test_logo_detection.py \
    -e openai/clip-vit-large-patch14 \
    -t 0.70 \
    --matching-method multi-ref \
    --use-max-similarity
```

Expected: ~48% precision, ~72% recall, ~58% F1

---

## Key Findings

### 1. Image-Level Splits Dramatically Improve Performance

The image-split fine-tuned model outperforms all others because:
- It learns brand-specific features during training
- Test images are different but from same brands
- Better represents real-world use where you have reference images for logos you want to detect

### 2. Logo-Level Splits Test True Generalization (but results are poor)

The logo-split model tests whether fine-tuning helps with completely unseen logos:
- Result: It doesn't help much (56% F1 vs 58% baseline)
- Contrastive learning doesn't transfer well to novel brands
- Use baseline CLIP for novel logo detection

### 3. Threshold Sweet Spot is 0.70-0.75

For all models, the optimal F1 occurs around threshold 0.70-0.75:
- Lower thresholds: Too many false positives
- Higher thresholds: Misses too many correct logos
- At 0.90+: Precision is high but recall drops below 25%

### 4. Precision-Recall Tradeoff

| Priority | Threshold | Tradeoff |
|----------|-----------|----------|
| Recall | 0.65-0.70 | More matches, more false positives |
| Balanced | 0.70-0.75 | Best F1 score |
| Precision | 0.75-0.80 | Fewer false positives, misses some matches |
| High Precision | 0.85+ | Very few false positives, misses many matches |

---

## Conclusion

**For production use with known logos:**
- Use **Image-Split Fine-tuned Model** at **threshold 0.70-0.75**
- Expected F1: 67-68%, Precision: 66-80%

**For discovering unknown logos:**
- Use **Baseline CLIP** at **threshold 0.70**
- Expected F1: ~58%, Precision: ~48%

The image-split fine-tuning provides significant improvements (+8-10% F1) over baseline for known logos, but does not help with completely novel brands. For a production system, ensure all target logos are included in the training/reference set.